Ever since Tom Brady’s four-game suspension came into place,
speculations are rife as to how the Patriots will fare in those first
four-games of this season. Patriots for over a decade have not known how things
will be without Brady. The only exception to this was in 2008 when Brady had to
sit out due to an injury and Matt Cassel replaced him for a brief period. Amid
all these developments, the only positive point that the Patriot fans could
cling on to is Brady’s appeal. The appeal could reduce the suspension to two-games
or eliminate the suspension all together, but seeing how things are
progressing, the punishment will probably be maintained. This is what leading
NFL experts think and they have reasons to believe so.
Patriots to lose a
lot if appeal fails
The Patriots will be facing a difficulty time if Brady is to
stay out for the first four-games. The opening game is against the Steelers.
Steelers have stayed strong coming out 11-5 last season. The next game will not
bring reprieve for the Patriots as they then face their toughest divisional
rivals, the Bills. Though Patriots will be happy to face the Jaguars in the
third game, yet they will face Cowboys in the fourth game. This again is a
source of concern as the Cowboys came out 12-4 last season.
These are the reasons why the Patriots will be hoping for Brady
to win the appeal.
NFL will never let
its authority be challenged
Well what one thing must be clear to Brady’s agent is that
they happen to be the loser in the appeal against NFL’s Deflategate scandal.
They are well aware that the NFL commissioner possesses wide discretionary
powers. These may be employed at any time when the need arises to protect the
integrity of the game. This is the reason why you saw Brady’s agent resorting
to angry comments but these do not in any way take to task the NFL authority or
what integrity protection means to NFL. The only way that Brady could win his
appeal is if his agent and attorney could prove that NFL had abused its
authority. This is something that the NFL will never allow to happen.
Since Brady and company know this situation very well, the
case is not about whether the punishment matches the offense. What we all know
is that Brady will be set to lose his first four-games (25 percent of the
regular season) if he loses appeal. However, at times, other players may face
lesser punishment for a greater breach of rules.
The commissioner had
the inherent authority
The issue though being seen with multiple inferences by
different sides, yet it is all about whether the Commissioner had the authority
or not. It is more about if the decision was arbitrary or not. Brady still stands
to lose as the constitution and the bylaws vest the authority to the commissioner
to rely upon what experts had to say in their findings.
Brady’s agent is yet
to respond to Ted Wells’ challenge
Brady’s agent had a long list of complaints against the NFL
decision. But when Ted Wells asked him to go ahead and release the transcripts,
there was no answer. The transcripts are the interview notes that Brady’s agent
has said were not included in the Wells report. Brady’s agent had been critical
of the report saying that Tom Brady’s answer had not been included in the Wells
Report. So now we have Wells asking Brady’s agent to release the transcripts
but there is no answer. The only possible reason seems that some of the questions
may have proven to be embarrassing to Brady regardless of why they were not in
the report. So Agent Don Yee chose to abstain from responding to Wells’
challenge.
Going to court won’t
be easy for Brady’s lawyer
Jeffrey Kessler, Tom’s lawyer has had success in the federal
court, but there are reasons to believe that the same won’t happen again. Much
of the success has been in front of Judge David Doty. Things have now changed
as he has stepped down from taking such cases. He has even hit out on the
league for different reasons, but he simply does not hear such cases again. So Kessler
will have to do with another judge. It is hard to believe that Kessler will
succeed in convincing another judge that Brady’s rights have been infringed.
The story has been
trending with a bad impression
One of the underlying question is that how have things gone
in Patriots’ way. Despite the loyalty of Patriots’ fans towards Brady, we all
know that things have not been progressing smoothly for the Patriots. We were
led into believing that the Wells report will exonerate the Patriots, but
nothing of the sort happened. Another speculation was that the Report would go
on to find more error with the league rather than with the Patriots. However,
the opposite happened. Many were also led into believing that the Colts had
actually deflated the footballs, but the opposite happened. The Patriots were declared
guilty. The Patriots were also optimistic that the report would be buried on Friday
or on weekend, but again nothing of the sort happened. So now we have Patriots again.
Will the opposite keep happening for the Patriots again and again when Brady’s
appeal is heard on the 23rd of June?
The irony
An irony that emerges in the scenario is that after Brady
makes a comeback; his first game will be against the Colts. This is the same
team that reported the matter to the NFL.
What people forget
while making a conclusion?
One of the points that all Patriots fans should understand
is that even though the report and the ruling may not be meeting the expectations
of reasonable people, yet the judge will never be asking for their opinions.
What matters the most in the appeal is that the Judge will not pay any attention
to what NFL fans want. They on the contrary will rely considerably and largely
on what their experts have to say on the issue. So here we go: even if considerable
guilt is not established, the decision is likely to be upheld.
The only thing that may work out on the favor of the
Patriots is that someone really neutral gets to make the decision. The Patriots
will have a fair demand in this argument. Since the NFL has been pretty much inconsistent
in its arbitrary decisions regarding disciplinary actions, bringing in a
neutral arbitrator to hear the appeal only seems fair.
So Patriots fans are now missing out on the real scenario.
Minds do differ on this issue, but the basis of the four-game suspension is not
confined to deflating footballs. However, to prove this in the appeal will be a
daunting task and something that Brady’s agent and attorney will be unable to
prove.
Considering all these facts, it is highly likely that the
suspension will stay. The only thing that the Patriots can rely on is that the
NFL will reduce the suspension to a two-game ban.
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